Lessons and Reasons for Kenya’s governance missteps

The Kenya state is under the greatest threat of becoming undone because of lack of resolute leadership since independence of replacing the colonial legacy of corruption and tribalism with national values that benefit all.

The reason why democracy has failed to stop rampant corruption and tribalism in Kenya can be traced to lack of National values. If you look at countries like Botswana, Mauritius and South Africa that have successful democracies and economies since independence you will realize that the founding presidents made  conscious decision to promote national values. In Botswana  President Khama grew up in a family of  Chiefs . This experience helped the president in ruling. Here is how Foreign policy magazine illustrated this.

It is Botswana’s history of visionary leadership, especially in the years following independence, that best explains its success. Sir Seretse Khama, Botswana’s founding president, came from a family of Bamangwato chiefs well regarded for their benevolence and integrity. When Khama founded the Botswana Democratic Party in 1961 and led his country to independence, he was already dedicated to the principles of deliberative democracy and market economy that would allow his young country to flourish. Modest, unostentatious as a leader, and a genuine believer in popular rule, Khama forged a participatory and law-respecting political culture that has endured under his successors, Sir Ketumile Masire and Festus Mogae.

Although operating in very different circumstances, Mauritius’ first leader, Sir Seewoosagur Ramgoolam, held to the same leadership codes as Khama. Ramgoolam gave Mauritius a robust democratic beginning, which has been sustained by a series of wise successors from different backgrounds and parties. Both Khama and Ramgoolam could have emulated many of their contemporaries by establishing strong, single-man, kleptocratic regimes. But they refused to do so.

Effective leadership has proved the decisive factor in South Africa, too: without Nelson Mandela’s inclusive and visionary leadership, his adherence to the rule of law, his insistence on broadening the delivery of essential services, and his emphasis on moving from a command economy toward a market-driven one, South Africa would probably have emerged from apartheid as a far more fractured and autocratic state than it did.

Too few African leaders have followed the examples of Mandela, Khama, and Ramgoolam. Ghana, Lesotho, Mali, and Senegal are all showing promise. But in many other African countries, leaders have begun their presidential careers as democrats only to end up, a term or two later, as corrupt autocrats: Bakili Muluzi of Malawi, Moi of Kenya, and, most dramatically of all, Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe. Other leaders, such as Sam Nujoma of Namibia and Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, may be heading in the same direction.

What  be-deviled Kenya first government and continues to haunt Kenya is because Kenyatta government did not have any experience in ruling. Instead of abandoning the colonial structures and borrowing to an already existing Kenyan tribal  deliberative governance structure that was already democratic and built on market economy Kenyatta government continued with the colonial centralized structure. If Kenyatta for example could have borrowed heavily from Kikuyu governance  structure and tried to rule based on this values at the national stage the outcome would have be significantly different for everyone.

As it stands now Kenya needs a leader who can be bold enough to establish and instill using rule of law national values. These values must focus on eliminating corruption and tribalism. This leader must be focused on an enduring legacy.


Kenyatta government failure can be traced to corruption and tribalism, ditto Moi, ditto Kibaki , his government that held great promise became undone after Anglo-leasing scandal proved to everyone that there was no political will to slay the corruption dragon and what followed after that is that the political elites disintegrated on basis of tribal affiliation and the results was PEV.

Uhuru government too is failing to move forward because of the legacy of corruption and visceral tribalism that have pearmeated every aspect of the Kenyan life.

Tribalism has turned Kenya into a haven of hate. No one is a saint in this melee. Former reformers are now the most virulent tribalists. Yesterday religious leaders of virtue are today biggest apologists on behalf of corruption and tribalism. No institution is spared, no place is scared from this hate that if is left unchecked it will result in genocide.  Any little misunderstanding in todays Kenya can result despondency that state cannot contain and can or will morph into a civil war

Solutions are very simple.

  1.  Gathering of political will by executive branch to fight tribalism and corruption and be willing to suffer immeasurable loses during this fight. It is the executive branch that has the ability to set the agenda and to promote new values.
  2. Political will, political will and more political will to do the right thing no matter the consequences

A strong foundation based on shared national values have the ability of unlocking the big potential that our society holds. Without this foundation every success that Kenya has achieved in the last 50 years can be undone in a New York minute. Lay the national foundation afresh and because we do have capable human resource that if utilized in the proper way can give Kenya sustainable development and stability.


The talk that development can replace national values is unnatural for development cannot be sustainable if there no ethical values formulating this development. We cannot repeal the laws of natural justice but must follow these laws to the bitter end. What is lacking is leadership to promote and enforce these laws.


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Rest in Peace Fidel Odinga

My heartfelt condolences to the family of late Fidel Odinga. I met Fidel twice while he was in states. He was in the company of his cousin. Looking back what stuck with me about Fidel was his humble demeanor. It may be a testament of who he was as a person and the values he was brought with. May you rest in peace.

Why are African Women still bleaching their skin 50 years after independence?

Who should be blamed from this low self esteem? Media? African leaders? the African Gene? what is it that drives a man or woman to want to be white? Is it that White Supremacy is so potent that the African cannot conquer it?


what is it?

nervous Jubilee plots to calm nerves

Sitting at the banquet table with the boos of an angry crowd outside does interfere with ones appetite. One rises from the table to go and take a look, find out if he has to do some fire-brigade work, or whether it is some much ado about nothing one can comfortably ignore

the statement above describes Jubilee government dilemma. The Jubilee administration is being faced by the following Politial and economic problems
1. Legitimacy – majority of the people who did not vote for Jubilee feel that the elections were rigged and the current administration is in office illegally and that it is the duty of the opposition to make this government fail by any means necessary. The legitimacy questions extends to all three arms of the government and none of these arms is seen as legitimate by the opposition supporters
2, Poor economy, the Kenyan economy is being faced by several challenges such as ballooning wage bill, collapsing tourism due to insecurity, high levels of unemployment especially among the Youth.
3, corruption every major jubilee project has been marred by corruption allegations and the recent payment of Anglo leasing contracts has not helped matters
4. Lack of better foreign relations. Kenya is a client state of the west, specifically America. Current administration is not seen as ideal administration by the Obama administration therefore Obama has not been keen on support it. To worsen the matters both the president and the vice president are indicted by ICC for crimes against humanity making it a public relations nightmare for the west to be associated with the current government
5. Insecurity..several terrorist attacks have forced the Western government to issue travel warnings and create a lot fear among Kenyans

President Uhuru promised a lot to voters during campaigns and due to challenges outlined above he is having a hard time delivering these promises. So “I believe” expectations have been dashed and replaced by bickering over government tenders and appointments within the coalition. These divisions within the jubilee alliance given the opposition a chance to challenge the goverment.

Raila is proving again that he is a master of political rhetoric and that he is at his best when he is in the trenches fighting the power of the day.

What unfolds in the next two months will be a pointer on whether this government is strong enough to weather serious confidence crisis that it is experiencing at the moment because even the staunchest supporters are starting to have doubts on the ability of Jubilee government to deliver

Is the Rift Valley Kalenjin Populace sufferingfrom collective Guilt ?

Is Rift Valley Kalenjin Populace suffering collective Guilt ?
Definition of Collective Guilt
Collective guilt is defining guilt that is shared by a group of people over an act or actions that is seen as shameful. It is not talked about, but does manifest. Afrikaners of South Africa have a collective guilt over Apartheid. So do the Germans on the Holocaust

What happened to in Rift Valley in 1992, 1997 and 2007 -2008 was horrific and traumatic for both the perpetrators and victims. The traumatic experience of victims is well documented but for the perpetrators it is not yet documented and there haven’t been a debate on this issue publicly. From my own observation is that the Kalenjins have gone to great length as a people to avoid any honest debate on their feelings about this. When most of the Kalenjin leadership or elites are confronted about this issue they retort that it was a result of provocation by then administration that made their people react “spontaneously” with grave consequences. They justify the carnage by explaining that the perpetrators were hooligans amidst them who are misguided. That is version I have heard from Elites.

However, there is a little small detail called “historical injustices” under the historical injustices Kalenjins have grievances centered around land. They feel that the current non-natives took land from them unfairly aided by the colonial government and post-independence government of Kenyatta and so my own assumption and reading of the situation is that every kalenjin holds this grievance and it is a socialized grievance that has been whispered from generation to generation. PEV presented an opportunity for the Kalenjins to reclaim their land and the madness was never spontaneous but a plan that was in the subconscious of the kalenjin and only needed pre-text to execute.

So in the Post PEV Kenya how this collective guilt gets addressed and how the historical injustices both for PEV victims and perpetrators get resolved will determine the future.
Join the debate

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To the Victims of PEV you won’t get jusice because failure of your government to cooperate

The lack of cooperation by the government has seen all ICC cases collapsing because of lack of evidence. It is a sad reality now that victims of crimes against humanity will never get justice. To Mutunga and tobiko you are the only last bastion of hope of the victims please do something and deliver justice that has been denied to these victims for so long. To fellow Kenyans while you celebrate that the political mandarins are going free know you may fall a victim of this violence in future and while yourself, your family or relatives, neighbors will be raped, maimed and even killed our courts including ICC will play politics with your quest for justice. We have endorsed to candidates that have been indicted essentially telling the world that we are willing to embrace “leaders” suspected for crimes against humanity.

I predict that in 20 years there will civil war and genocide in Kenya if no one is punished for PEV. So like the Swahili will say “Ukiona kichwa cha mwenzako cha nyolewa chako tia maji” loosely translated “if you see your neighbors head getting shave start preparing your head for a shave too”

kikuyu and kalenjins have won the battle of tribal supremacy

Yap the elections in Kenya are not about issues but tribal supremacy and whatever camp has the tribal numbers wins. So raila lost to Kalenjin and Kikuyu voters. The country is split with 50.7% supporting Uhuru and 43% supporting Raila. the good thing about this is that uhuru cannot rule without having to take into consideration those that did not support him. since the coalitions formed closed to elections are not based on ideology I expect splits within these coalitions within a year.

Uhuru faces two big challenges ICC case and imperialists. He may win ICC case easily but the imperialists will give him hell and if he thought the campaigns were gruelling fighting the west will be another challenge and he better call mugabe for pointers.

remember the west never loses to negroes

Provincial Administration under Instrutctions from Office of President to “assist” RIG March 4th election

Mr. Francis Kimemia, CBS
Permanent Secretary,
Secretary to the Cabinet and Head of Public Service
Office of the President, Harambee House
P.o box 62345-00200

Mr. Itea Aringo, CBS
Permanent Secretary
Provincial, Administration and internal Security
Office of the President, Harambee House
P.o box 62345-00200

Mr. Kennedy Kihara, EBS
Liaison, Parliament and Commissions
Office of the President, Harambee House
P.o box 62345-00200

Mr. Joseph K. Kinyua, CBS
Permanent Secretary
Office of Deputy Prime Minister &Ministry of Finance

Dear Kimemia,


The above subject matter refers.

Please be advised that the Commission is in receipt of formal complaints from the Coalition for Reforms and Democracy (CORD) alliance of your being partisan in execution of your duties. You have been accused jointly and severally that you have violated the election laws by engaging in electoral activities against provisions of section 43(1) of the Elections Act which states as follows:

43. “(1) A public officer shall not—
(a) engage in the activities of any political party or candidate or act as an agent of a political party or a candidate in an election;
(b) publicly indicate support for or opposition against any party, side or candidate participating in an election;
(c) engage in political campaigns or other political activity; or
(d) use public resources to initiate new development projects in any constituency or county for purposes of supporting a candidate or political party in that constituency or county.”

You have been accused that:

i. On the January 27th, 2013 at Lake Elementaita Jacaranda Hotel, Mr. Kimemia met the Jubilee Alliance/The National Alliance Presidential Candidate Uhuru Kenyatta and his running mate William ruto from 22.20hrs to 23.15hrs behind closed doors.

ii. On January 29, 2013 at the Bomas of Kenya, Mr. Kimemia held a meeting with District Commissioners (DCs), County Commissioners (CCs) and provincial Commissioners (PCs). In small meetings within a bigger one and that Mr. Kimemia did appeal to the administrators to assist presidential campaigns of Mr. Kenyatta as they would be sacked if Rt. Hon Raila Odinga were to be elected president.

iii. As facilitation the administrators were promised sums of between ksh 5,000,000 and ksh 15,000,000 each. This meeting was attended by Mr. Itea Iringo and Kennedy Kihara among other senior officials from the office of the President.

iv. On February 9, 2013 in the company of Iringo and Kinyua, Mr. Kimemia met about 68 elders from Muranga, Kiambu, Nakuru, Kericho and Molo at Jacaranda Hotel, Elementaita where support for Mr Kenyatta was reportedly discussed.

v. On February 10, 2013 at the same Jacaranda Hotel, Mr Kimemia met eight PCs and about 20DCs and CCs. The administrators were transported in two hired buses. There were asked to initiate door to door campaign for Mr. Kenyatta and reminded them that they would be jobless if Hon. Odinga were to win Presidential Elections.

vi. There has been partisan activities by DCs, Dos, Chiefs and their assistants and village heads in Kitui, Siaya, Vihiga, Kakamega, Uasin Gishu and Kajiado counties among others.

In respect therefor of the above very serious allegations, the Commission demands that you give us a response within 48 hours. For avoidance of doubt a copy of the complaint is hereby attached.



Copy to:
Hon. Mutula Kilonzo, EGH
Secretary General
Wiper Democratic Movement Kenya

Hon. (Prof) P.A Nyongo, EGH
Orange Democratic Movement

HON. Dr. Esseli Simiyu
Secretary General,
Forum for the Restoration of Democracy in Kenya

Raila path to presidency

Uhuru support is in two kenya regions central and rift Valley. Raila support is in the rest of the country however because of low turnout in these regions Raila cannot win without getting some votes from Uhuru political base. After crunching raw data based on IEBC register here is what Raila needs to win:

win All key other regions that is western, Nyanza, NEP, Coast, Lower Eastern, Nairobi and the take the following percentages in Central 2%, Rift Valley 20% and Upper Eastern 10%. Otherwise the elections will head to 2nd round in a statistical dead heat and may be then he can hope Mudavadi supporters and Some central voters will see the light and vote for him

As of now if the returns show Raila with over 20% in RV and 2% in central then Uhuru will have to climb Mt Kenya and conceed. For Uhuru all he needs is to keep his base intact and take 10% of Nyanza (gusii), get Easter 45%, win nairobi with 5% and get over 17% of Western vote

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