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kenyan Politics Analysis
Lessons and Reasons for Kenya’s governance missteps
I wrote this in 2015. Uhuru is now implementing my suggestions and hopefully the “handshake” gives him the political cover he needs to reboot Kenya
The Kenya state is under the greatest threat of becoming undone because of lack of resolute leadership since independence of replacing the colonial legacy of corruption and tribalism with national values that benefit all.
The reason why democracy has failed to stop rampant corruption and tribalism in Kenya can be traced to lack of National values. If you look at countries like Botswana, Mauritius and South Africa that have successful democracies and economies since independence you will realize that the founding presidents made conscious decision to promote national values. In Botswana President Khama grew up in a family of Chiefs . This experience helped the president in ruling. Here is how Foreign policy magazine illustrated this.
It is Botswana’s history of visionary leadership, especially in the years following independence, that best explains its success. Sir Seretse Khama, Botswana’s founding president, came from a family of Bamangwato chiefs well regarded for their benevolence and integrity…
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Kenya is heading the Nigeria way without Military coups
Kenyan elites have really embraced Abuja style of corruption. They have decided to eat the Kenya nation from from her brain. The Kenyan nation is now a confused state. In terms of corruption Nigeria takes gold in Africa and Kenya has a Silver. In kenya the Nigerian mafias find themselves home.
As Nigeria computers voter in 2019. The campaigns for 2022 computer nominations are in top gear in the shit hole of East Africa called Kenya
may the gods of Dedan Kimathi curse your loins
African Dictators Watch
Now that Mugabe is dead and buried politically. The following Dictators need to be overthrown.
- Kaguta Museveni – Ugandans need to find a way to retire this old nut
- Paul Biya – Cameroonians pull your socks. fight this old fossil like your future depends on it. he has been in power since pope was a baby
- Nkurunziza – Burundi can do better than what this moron is offering
- Togo president whatever the hell his funny name is
- Equatorial guinea president
International Observers or mercenaries of World Interests
Why would John Kerry spend weeks in Nairobi where Cholera is raining like seattle mist? Nairobi is global center for control of USA interests in East and Central Africa. The white savior syndrome too requires that Kenyans elections be observed and credibility be assessed by gray White haired men from distant lands.
International observers can give credibility even to a Genocider. I am sure of you sent Kerry, Carter Center, AU and IGAD observers to Sudan they would give Bashir Elections a clean bill of health. They would recommend that a few things be implemented in the next elections cycle. These things would be technology that requires IBM or Oracle to provide services for. They would then go to Congress and lobby for an allocation of these funds. Voila American interests would intertwined with Sudan elections.
Kenya has its own corrupt and very able elite that should be let to carry its own elections without having Neocons telling them how credible their rigging and fraud is. There is no report that has come from these observers that has provided basis of stopping elections fraud or improving the electoral process.
Kelly can serve America’s best if he gets electoral laws in USA fixed so that Putin doesn’t keep on making liberals squeal like a piglet about to be castrated.
I hope Kelly took a shower as soon as he left Nairobi otherwise he may spread Cholera and contaminate Heinz Ketchup
Post 2017 Kenya elections Analysis
I would like to take this opportunity to say that I am disappointed that opposition didn’t win. Were the elections rigged/hacked? I don’t know. What I do know is that performance by Opposition in its strongholds of Ukambani and Western is unexplainable and unexpected. I am not on the ground in Ukambani or Western so I cannot provide an insight on the electoral patterns or feelings in these two areas. One thing all have to be proud about is that we know that opposition coalition just needs to convince 10% kenyans. However it is not as easy as convincing 10 percent as Kenya politics are based on personality and tribal identity. Opposition needs to find a candidate from one of the major tribes Kalenjin or Kikuyu and sponsor this candidate to counter the government in 2022.
The opposition should not challenge the government but take time to consolidate any gains however small attained in this electoral cycle. Opposition should put Raila quest for presidency behind it and nominate a candidate that can use NASA plattforrm for 4 years to counter Jubilee junta.
Opposition needs to find a way to appease the two major tribes so that in future they can give it a chance.
Lessons and Reasons for Kenya’s governance missteps
The Kenya state is under the greatest threat of becoming undone because of lack of resolute leadership since independence of replacing the colonial legacy of corruption and tribalism with national values that benefit all.
The reason why democracy has failed to stop rampant corruption and tribalism in Kenya can be traced to lack of National values. If you look at countries like Botswana, Mauritius and South Africa that have successful democracies and economies since independence you will realize that the founding presidents made conscious decision to promote national values. In Botswana President Khama grew up in a family of Chiefs . This experience helped the president in ruling. Here is how Foreign policy magazine illustrated this.
It is Botswana’s history of visionary leadership, especially in the years following independence, that best explains its success. Sir Seretse Khama, Botswana’s founding president, came from a family of Bamangwato chiefs well regarded for their benevolence and integrity. When Khama founded the Botswana Democratic Party in 1961 and led his country to independence, he was already dedicated to the principles of deliberative democracy and market economy that would allow his young country to flourish. Modest, unostentatious as a leader, and a genuine believer in popular rule, Khama forged a participatory and law-respecting political culture that has endured under his successors, Sir Ketumile Masire and Festus Mogae.
Although operating in very different circumstances, Mauritius’ first leader, Sir Seewoosagur Ramgoolam, held to the same leadership codes as Khama. Ramgoolam gave Mauritius a robust democratic beginning, which has been sustained by a series of wise successors from different backgrounds and parties. Both Khama and Ramgoolam could have emulated many of their contemporaries by establishing strong, single-man, kleptocratic regimes. But they refused to do so.
Effective leadership has proved the decisive factor in South Africa, too: without Nelson Mandela’s inclusive and visionary leadership, his adherence to the rule of law, his insistence on broadening the delivery of essential services, and his emphasis on moving from a command economy toward a market-driven one, South Africa would probably have emerged from apartheid as a far more fractured and autocratic state than it did.
Too few African leaders have followed the examples of Mandela, Khama, and Ramgoolam. Ghana, Lesotho, Mali, and Senegal are all showing promise. But in many other African countries, leaders have begun their presidential careers as democrats only to end up, a term or two later, as corrupt autocrats: Bakili Muluzi of Malawi, Moi of Kenya, and, most dramatically of all, Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe. Other leaders, such as Sam Nujoma of Namibia and Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, may be heading in the same direction.
What be-deviled Kenya first government and continues to haunt Kenya is because Kenyatta government did not have any experience in ruling. Instead of abandoning the colonial structures and borrowing to an already existing Kenyan tribal deliberative governance structure that was already democratic and built on market economy Kenyatta government continued with the colonial centralized structure. If Kenyatta for example could have borrowed heavily from Kikuyu governance structure and tried to rule based on this values at the national stage the outcome would have be significantly different for everyone.
As it stands now Kenya needs a leader who can be bold enough to establish and instill using rule of law national values. These values must focus on eliminating corruption and tribalism. This leader must be focused on an enduring legacy.
Kenyatta government failure can be traced to corruption and tribalism, ditto Moi, ditto Kibaki , his government that held great promise became undone after Anglo-leasing scandal proved to everyone that there was no political will to slay the corruption dragon and what followed after that is that the political elites disintegrated on basis of tribal affiliation and the results was PEV.
Uhuru government too is failing to move forward because of the legacy of corruption and visceral tribalism that have pearmeated every aspect of the Kenyan life.
Tribalism has turned Kenya into a haven of hate. No one is a saint in this melee. Former reformers are now the most virulent tribalists. Yesterday religious leaders of virtue are today biggest apologists on behalf of corruption and tribalism. No institution is spared, no place is scared from this hate that if is left unchecked it will result in genocide. Any little misunderstanding in todays Kenya can result despondency that state cannot contain and can or will morph into a civil war
Solutions are very simple.
- Gathering of political will by executive branch to fight tribalism and corruption and be willing to suffer immeasurable loses during this fight. It is the executive branch that has the ability to set the agenda and to promote new values.
- Political will, political will and more political will to do the right thing no matter the consequences
A strong foundation based on shared national values have the ability of unlocking the big potential that our society holds. Without this foundation every success that Kenya has achieved in the last 50 years can be undone in a New York minute. Lay the national foundation afresh and because we do have capable human resource that if utilized in the proper way can give Kenya sustainable development and stability.
The talk that development can replace national values is unnatural for development cannot be sustainable if there no ethical values formulating this development. We cannot repeal the laws of natural justice but must follow these laws to the bitter end. What is lacking is leadership to promote and enforce these laws.
Rest in Peace Fidel Odinga
My heartfelt condolences to the family of late Fidel Odinga. I met Fidel twice while he was in states. He was in the company of his cousin. Looking back what stuck with me about Fidel was his humble demeanor. It may be a testament of who he was as a person and the values he was brought with. May you rest in peace.
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